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Western Strategy Resource Expansion Drilling To Commence At Paradox Lithium Project
Drilling Permits for Western Expansion Granted
Anson Resources Limited (ASX: ASN, ASNOC) (Anson or the Company) is pleased to announce that approval has been granted by the Utah Division of Oil, Gas and Mining (UDOGM) for the commencement of its western Resource expansion drilling program at the Paradox Lithium Project (the Project) in Utah, USA.
Highlights:
- The Application Permit to Drill (APD) to re-enter the Sunburst No.1 and Mineral Canyon Fed 1-3 wells has been approved by the Utah Division of Oil, Gas and Mining
- Approval allows Anson to commence the Western Strategy of its ongoing major resource expansion drilling program at the Paradox Lithium Project
- The Western Strategy is designed to deliver a further substantial JORC resource increase by converting existing Inferred Resources and the large Exploration Target into Indicated and Inferred Resources
- The Exploration Target at the Project’s Western Strategy has been upgraded to; 2.10Bt – 2.56Bt of brine grading 108 – 200ppm Li and 2,000 – 3,000ppm Br1
- Western Strategy re-entry program will target lithium rich-brine aquifers within the thick Mississippian units and Pennsylvanian clastic horizons and is expected to commence in Q1 2023
UDOGM has approved Anson’s plan to conduct a re-entry and sampling program at the Sunburst No.1 and Mineral Canyon Fed 1-3 wells in the western region of the Project area (Figure 1). This is another significant step in the Company’s Resource expansion program. The Bureau of Land Management (BLM) has already approved the new drilling and sampling program of all horizons at Sunburst No.1 and Mineral Canyon Fed 1-3 listed in Table 1, see ASX Announcement 5 October 2022.
Under its ‘Western Strategy’, Anson plans to convert the existing Inferred Resource and Exploration Target to Indicated and Inferred Resources, see ASX Announcement of 10 September 2020 and 26 July 2021. Subject to favourable sampling results from the re-entry program, it is proposed that the Western Expansion program will deliver a further significant expansion of the existing Mineral Resource of; 1,037,900t of Lithium Carbonate Equivalent (LCE) and 5.27Mt of Bromine, see ASX announcement 2 November 2022.
Background to Western Resource Expansion Program
Sampling of brine from the Sunburst and Mineral Canyon wells will be tested for lithium (Li) and other minerals including bromine (Br), Iodine (I) and Boron (B) concentrations in clastic horizons 17, 19, 29, 31 and 33 as well as the thick Mississippian units.
The wells are located approximately 1km from historic lithium-rich assayed brines previously sampled from a number of wells in the “Big Flat” area. The thicknesses of each horizon containing the supersaturated brines are shown in Table 1. It can be seen from the thicknesses of the Mississippian units that it is a very large reservoir which may result in a significant increase in the JORC resource at the Project once the sampling program is completed.
Anson initially applied to re-enter the Mineral Canyon Fed 1-3 and Sunburst 1 wells to test lithium, bromine, boron and iodine grades in the Paradox Formation brines, with the intent to increase and upgrade the Project’s JORC Resource (see ASX Announcement of 10 September 2020).
The application was subsequently amended to include the sampling of the much larger aquifer within the Mississippian units. The sampling of the Mississippian units has proven successful, as evidenced by the Resource expansion program at the Long Canyon Unit 2 and Cane Creek 32- wells which resulted in a large increase in the JORC resource for the Project, see ASX announcements 2 November and 22 August 2022.
The thicknesses of the horizons to be sampled in the re-entry programs are shown in Table 1.This article includes content from Anson Resources, licensed for the purpose of publishing on Investing News Australia. This article does not constitute financial product advice. It is your responsibility to perform proper due diligence before acting upon any information provided here. Please refer to our full disclaimer here.
Anson Resources: Developing a Near-Term Clean Energy Project in Utah
Anson Resources (ASX:ASN) focuses on the resources necessary to meet the energy demands of the future. The company’s flagship project, the Paradox Lithium Project, has the potential to become a world-class lithium producer and is located near Tesla’s massively productive gigafactory in the United States. Additional projects target nickel, copper, and uranium.
The company's flagship Paradox Project is located in Utah, a mining-friendly and politically stable jurisdiction. The asset holds significant lithium brine deposits, and the company has identified an extraction method that has delivered an extraction rate of 91.5 percent. This technique calls for passing the lithium through the resin, which captures the resin, and can then be separated from the resin with water. From that state, it can be processed into lithium carbonate. The company is currently undertaking a major JORC resource expansion drilling program, the results of which will feed into a Detailed Feasibility Study being carried out by global engineering firm, Worley.
Company Highlights
- Anson Resources is focused on developing its flagship project, the Paradox Lithium Project, into a significant lithium producing operation.
- The company is currently undertaking a major JORC Resource expansion program at Paradox, which will form part of a Detailed Feasibility Study which is being undertaken by leading global engineering consultants, Worley.
- The Paradox Project contains multiple lithium brine targets, and the company has identified an extraction method that produces an impressive return rate of 91.5 percent. Also, the project’s Direct Lithium Extraction (DLE) method is expected to deliver significant ESG benefits
- In addition, the project’s brine also contains bromine, creating a valuable second potential revenue stream for the asset.
- Anson Resources’ other projects target nickel, copper, vanadium and uranium. The company aims to supply energy markets with the mineral resources necessary to power the future.
- The company has an experienced management team with a mix of technical, corporate and commercial skills driving the project towards its ambitious goals.
This Anson Resources company profile is part of a paid investor education campaign.*
McKinsey: Commodities Trading Generated US$104 Billion in 2023
A recent report from McKinsey highlights trends seen in commodities trading over the past year.
The document shows that despite global uncertainty, commodities trading generated over US$100 billion in earnings before interest and taxes in 2023, translating into more than US$150 billion in gross margin.
McKinsey mentions challenges related to COVID-19 and geopolitical conflicts, such as increased price volatility and supply chain disruptions, but notes that commodities trading value pools have show resilience.
Total trading values remained relatively stable in 2023 following rapid growth from 2021 to 2022.
Commodities trading trends in 2023
Looking at specific commodities, McKinsey notes that oil and oil-based products remain the largest value pool, although their profitability decreased in 2023. The firm also notes that the year brought physical volatility.
Total demand for oil is seen growing for the majority of this decade, followed by a decline after 2030. Demand for the commodity is forecast to decrease by nearly 50 percent by 2050.
Until then, competition is anticipated to escalate as more large players enter the fray. According to McKinsey, national oil companies and legacy oil marketers are already bolstering their trading capabilities.
For power and gas, trading pool value saw a bump in 2023, with markets seeing above-average volatility.
New opportunities are emerging in power and gas trading, particularly around entering new markets, data-driven trading and investments in new assets like battery energy storage systems.
The liquefied natural gas (LNG) market continued to grow in 2023, playing a crucial role in maintaining energy security in Europe. Similar to oil, market competition is poised to escalate as players that traditionally relied on long-term pipeline gas contracts, particularly in Europe, can now leverage their existing customer base to bolster their trading capabilities.
For metals and mining, trading profitability decreased in 2023, driven by elevated energy prices and lower commodities prices. Even so, nickel production saw a notable upsurge, largely driven by Indonesia, while lithium output experienced only modest growth. McKinsey sees the energy transition driving metals demand in the years to come.
Commodities sector increasingly interconnected
Aside from that, the McKinsey report highlights two major trends shaping commodities markets today.
The first is increasing interconnectedness. According to McKinsey, the average correlation between commodities vital to the energy transition has doubled, reaching 56 percent from 2015 to 2019.
Part of the reason for that is increased diversification of supply, which has led to a decrease in long-term relationships and a surge in short-term contracts. The LNG market exemplifies this shift, notes McKinsey, with approximately 100 new LNG tankers launched in the past three years, poised to surpass oil carriers by 2028.
Similarly, flexible contracts are gaining traction as buyers seek to mitigate risk. This shift often leads to higher exposure to global prices, as residual volumes are typically priced based on current market levels. The competition between Asia and Europe for additional LNG volumes highlights the growing preference for spot or indexed contracts.
However, not all markets follow this pattern. Critical industries like agriculture and certain metals, where supply chain security is paramount, often enjoy protection from local authorities.
Power to play a key role in the energy transition
The second major trend McKinsey mentions is the growing role of power in the energy transition.
The firm notes that power will be key to meeting the net-zero goals outlined in the Paris Agreement, and states that the power sector's value is anticipated to grow by up to 5 percent annually, reaching US$1.3 trillion to US$2.4 trillion by 2040.
However, the road to a sustainable energy future is not straightforward. Unlike other commodities, power demands immediate generation and consumption in close proximity. While solar and wind have spearheaded initial efforts in the energy transition, the journey to achieving the next 50 percent reduction in emissions presents complex hurdles.
Solutions such as nuclear, hydrogen and carbon capture necessitate substantial investments, alongside urgent grid expansions to accommodate evolving demands.
In Germany alone, the annual buildout of the transmission grid is projected to skyrocket by a factor of five, with approximately 1,900 kilometers added per annum by 2035, compared to a mere 400 kilometers previously.
Renewables, particularly wind and solar, are also set to dominate the power mix from 2030 to 2050. Yet this reliance on renewables introduces dependencies on other commodities. For instance, wind turbines, which are integral to renewable energy infrastructure, heavily rely on materials like steel, copper and aluminum.
Investor takeaway
As uncertainty drives large value pools in commodities trading, McKinsey is suggesting that players in this market embrace data-driven trading, which involves artificial intelligence.
The firm believes this approach can give commodities traders an advantage, particularly in power and gas.
"To expand capabilities and agility, players will need to think through the macrotrends to determine which cross-commodity opportunities are the best fit, what role traders can play in power, and how to differentiate across managing illiquid risks, data-driven trading, and having deep capabilities in niche commodities," states McKinsey.
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Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
First Parcel of Ore for 2024 to be Processed Mid-April
Auric Mining Limited (ASX: AWJ) (Auric or the Company) is pleased to announce that mining operations at the Jeffreys Find Gold Mine (the Project) near Norseman, WA, is proceeding smoothly on an around-the-clock basis.
Highlights
- Stage Two mining underway for one month.
- Nearly 20,000 tonnes of ore now delivered to Coolgardie Mill.
- Mill to commence processing the ore around 16 April 2024.
- First parcel expected to be in the order of 40,000 dry metric tonnes.
- First cash expected for Joint Venture in May 2024.
Managing Director, Mark English, said “The maiden milling campaign for 2024 is about to get underway. It is the first of many that are planned throughout the year.
“The ambition is to process in excess of 300,000 tonnes in 2024, nearly double that of 2023. Our joint venture partner is operating on an around-the-clock basis with larger equipment to expedite mining.
“The first parcel of approximately 40,000 tonnes is due to be toll treated imminently which is great news. With a gold price around $AUD3,500 an ounce the timing is perfect.
“All the pointers show that Jeffreys Find will be a substantial cash producer for us during the coming 12 months,” said Mr English.
Ore being dumped at Jeffreys Find Gold Mine, Norseman.
Mining commenced on 10 March 2024. As of 6 April 2024, a total of 18,540 tonnes of ore has been transported to the Greenfields Mill (Greenfields) at Coolgardie by BML Ventures Pty Ltd of Kalgoorlie (BML), Auric’s joint venture partner.
Greenfields will commence toll milling of Jeffreys Find ore around 16 April 2024. It is expected that approximately 40,000 dry metric tonnes will be processed for the first gold campaign of the year. Toll milling will take approximately two weeks.
BML is planning on mining more than 300,000 tonnes of ore during Stage Two of The Project in 2024 with ore to be processed at Greenfields. A number of processing campaigns are planned.
Stage One last year saw 176,000 tonnes processed for 9,741 ounces of gold.
Auric is expecting first surplus cash distribution in the last quarter of 2024 and further cash distributions in first quarter of 2025.
Click here for the full ASX Release
This article includes content from Auric Mining, licensed for the purpose of publishing on Investing News Australia. This article does not constitute financial product advice. It is your responsibility to perform proper due diligence before acting upon any information provided here. Please refer to our full disclaimer here.
Firebird Metals’ Integrated Strategy Well-placed in Booming LMFP Batteries Market, Analyst Says
Description
The growing demand for high-purity manganese sulphate monohydrate (HPMSM) used in lithium manganese iron phosphate (LMFP) batteries positions Firebird Metals (ASX:FRB) to become significant player in the manganese market for LMFP batteries and EV manufacturers, according to an analyst report published by Terra Studio.
“Compared to its peers, Firebird Metals and its Hunan high-purity manganese sulphate monohydrate project accumulate a number of enviable characteristics: lowest capital expenditure; lowest capital intensity; life of project not limited by a mineral resource; lowest operating cost; highest profitability index (NPV/capex) with the lowest HPMSM price assumption; best expertise in lithium-ion batteries and in particular LFP and
LMFP batteries; and largest market at its doorstep,” stated the report prepared by JF Bertincourt, director of Terra Studio.
Firebird Metals is focused on developing its Oakover high-purity manganese project in Western Australia and integrating a downstream processing facility in China to produce battery-grade HPMSM for the LMFP battery market.
Hunan Chemical Engineering Design Institute (PFS engineering group) and Hunan Firebird Battery Technology staff
“Firebird Metals is extremely well positioned to take advantage of the booming market for LMFP batteries,” Bertincourt wrote, citing the significant market outlook for LMFP batteries, which is expected to replace 50 percent of lithium-ion phosphate batteries (LFP) by 2030.
Highlights of the report:
- Firebird Metals is extremely well positioned to take advantage of the booming market for LMFP batteries, given its strategy to develop a processing facility in China, which will be fed by concentrate from its Oakover project
- If successful, Firebird is poised to become a significant player in the manganese market for LMFP batteries and EVs, and also become a supplier for the silica-manganese alloy market.
- LMFP is expected to dominate the cathode market for EV batteries, due to the manganese’s ability to make LFP batteries safer, cheaper and have more range.
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Auric Well-funded for Stage 2 Mining at Jeffreys Find After $4.7M Cash from Phase 1
First parcel of ore is expected by mid-April 2024
Auric Mining Limited (ASX:AWJ) is cashed up for the second round of mining at Jeffreys Find in Western Australia after Phase 1 generated more than $4.7 million in free cash, according to an article published in The Sydney Morning Herald.
Phase 2 mining aims to extract a minimum of 300,000 tonnes of ore, with the first parcel expected by mid-April 2024.
Auric and JV partner BML Ventures produced more than 9,740 gold ounces from two mining campaigns in 2023 generating a total revenue of $29.28 million for the first stage of the two-year project.
“Our level of confidence is high that Stage 2 will produce substantially more ounces, compared to 2023,” commented Auric Mining managing director Mark English.
Click here to connect with Auric Mining (ASX:AWJ) for an Investor Presentation
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Unearthing Efficiency: How the Mining Industry is Using AI to Make Data-driven Discoveries
Since OpenAI launched ChatGPT to the public in November 2022, artificial intelligence (AI) has exploded into the mainstream, turning into a gold mine for companies that have become early adopters.
What are the implications of AI for the mining sector? Can AI help revitalize investment in the chronically underfunded exploration stage? Can it provide the tools companies need to improve operational efficiency?
This year at the Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) convention, AI and machine learning were broadly featured in several presentations, with participants aiming to answer those and other questions, as well as provide insight into how AI is being deployed and what it means for the future of the mining industry.
Mining sector no stranger to technology
Terms like AI and machine learning might seem like they've exploded onto the scene recently, but the reality is they’ve been around since the 1940s. So it should come as no surprise that an industry rooted in science has been using these technologies for decades, not only to improve extraction and processing, but also to aid in discovery.
This idea was discussed during a PDAC panel hosted by Steve de Jong, CEO of AI company VRIFY.
Chris Taylor, former president and CEO of Great Bear Resources, which was acquired by Kinross Gold (TSX:K,NYSE:KGC) in 2022, said the company's use of machine learning tools was instrumental in making the district-scale discovery of the Dixie gold deposit in Ontario, which sent waves through the industry in the late 2010s.
Taylor said he believed he was included on the panel to provide a contrarian point of view.
“Every geologist that I know, every person that was instrumental in the Great Bear discovery, was already doing both computer modeling and interpretation and traditional field geology. So it’s not like there’s a dichotomy. These are tools that we’ve been using for a long time," he explained to listeners.
Specifically, geographic information system (GIS) programs such as Esri's ArcGIS have been used by the mining industry to help model and visualize exploration data since the mid-1980s. Taylor detailed how the tools used by Great Bear worked by having a geologist input a mathematical equation into GIS software.
“It all came down to the brain of the geologist and what factors you thought were most important. So you’d build an equation, and you’d wait for the equation and that would give you a number answer of zero or one,” he said. The results would help build a model that would provide the most prospective targets on the property.
How is the mining industry using AI today?
The data modeling tools used by Great Bear are still widely employed in the mining industry, but are beginning a new phase of evolution as AI and machine learning are more widely adopted and more closely integrated into GIS tools.
While some resource companies have approached AI cautiously, preferring to stick with the standard methods of exploration they are accustomed to, others have embraced the technology.
With backing from the likes of billionaires Bill Gates and Jeff Bezos, privately owned KoBold Metals has taken the second approach. In fact, the exploration company has been mistaken for a tech company due to the software side of its operations and its close connection with Silicon Valley capital. Even so, KoBold is emphatic that it is an exploration company first — just one that has fully integrated machine learning into its processes.
The company, which currently holds interests in more than 60 projects, made headlines in December 2022, when it agreed to pay US$115 million to EMR Capital, a private equity firm with an 80 percent stake in the Lubambe copper mine in Zambia. In return, Kobold received a 52 percent stake in the Lubambe extension project, which is now known as the Mingomba deposit. As part of the agreement, the company also committed to investing an additional US$35 million for exploration work at the site, which it has been carrying out since then.
In February of this year, KoBold confirmed that Mingomba hosts a large resource, calling it the largest copper discovery in a century, and said it intends to fast track mine development at the site.
Some media reports have credited the discovery to the team’s software. However, KoBold’s co-founder and CEO, Kurt House, who was also part of the VRIFY panel, described it as part of a larger process. KoBold’s software is a type of machine learning called a neural net — a set of processing nodes modeled after the human brain — that can put together a model based on billions of parameters. This requires integrated teams that provide the AI with enhanced data from drill results plus broader geological data, which it then uses to better target resource deposits.
“Every exploration program we have worldwide is co-led by a geoscientist and a data scientist, every single one,” House said at PDAC. “They’re glued together.” This is in contrast to the standard exploration process, whereby a more limited set of parameters would be fed to a GIS program by a geoscientist without the aid of a data scientist.
VRIFY's de Jong was similarly positive about how AI tools have evolved in the mining space.
In 2017, his company began the development of its namesake tool, which allowed improved communication between companies and their investors. The program uses AI to aid in the production of presentations that marry easy-to-read data on exploration activities, financials and company activities with intuitive 3D models of deposits and drill sites. Since then, VRIFY has gone on to be used by 180 companies in the mining industry.
Much like AI tools, VRIFY as a company has also evolved. In an interview with the Investing News Network, de Jong said his company is working with four mining companies to beta test its new AI-powered VRIFY.ai mineral exploration tool.
De Jong said VRIFY’s approach differs from KoBold’s; it's more granular and works by applying a company’s own data sets to VRIFY’s trained AI model to see patterns and identify mineralization that might otherwise be missed.
“If I give you a database, even if it’s just drill holes or rock samples from the surface, but there are positive assay hits of the type of mineral you’re looking for within that, then we can take that, then grab every other data set available and train it to look for more occurrences of those positive hits,” he explained.
So far, de Jong said the tools have revealed targets that are encouraging, and he’s excited about the next steps when companies go out to drill the areas identified by VRIFY’s tool and begin to validate the data.
What does AI mean for mining investors?
Mining industry investment has lagged for many years now. While the rewards of exploration have the potential to be high, the risks are even higher. In the “Where Will the Money Come From?” panel at PDAC, Franco-Nevada (TSX:FNV,NYSE:FNV) Founder and Chair Emeritus Pierre Lassonde explained how rare successful projects are.
“I took a 10 year span from 1983 to 1993 and looked at 3,000 exploration companies and what happened to them,” he told the audience at the convention. “Of those 3,000, only five companies actually delivered mines that opened and made money. The ratio is appalling, and it got worse in the last 20 years.”
Lassonde went on to discuss how AI has the potential to revolutionize the exploration process, but added the caveat that to be effective it needs vast amounts of data gleaned from drill programs and assay results, making it less accessible for the earliest-stage explorers or those operating in underexplored regions.
“AI is going to help incredibly, but you have to understand that AI is fed by data,” he said. “So if you have a project that already has 300,000 meters of drilling, AI is going to be incredibly useful to you because you’re feeding it massive amounts of information, and it will be helpful. But if you have a totally new discovery with two drill holes, it's not going to be very helpful because it has no information.”
In the VRIFY panel, Taylor spoke about how AI tools are helping make operations more efficient, which in turn leads to lower costs and ultimately provides investors with better returns. “What it will do is put the power back in the exploration geologist to make those decisions efficiently, and keep that return coming for investors,” he said.
For de Jong, efficiency is more of a by-product of AI’s true potential, which is helping companies maximize their chance at making a greater discovery, whether it's aiding in resource expansion or finding a completely unknown deposit.
Of course, it's not just exploration that is benefiting from what AI and machine learning have to offer.
During another PDAC presentation, Denise Johnson, a group president at Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), talked about how the company has been investing in new technologies like battery electric mining vehicles and AI.
On the production side, Johnson painted a picture of how companies are already deploying AI to operate mines more efficiently, decrease mining waste and ultimately drive productivity.
She said leveraging AI at remote mining sites can be particularly advantageous, noting that optimization is essential when getting labor and equipment to challenging locations. “We’re focused right now also on combining data and sensors and intelligence to really improve the understanding of the orebody so that customers can make more precise real-time decisions, which really enables that end-to-end value chain optimization,” she said.
Whether AI improves operational efficiency, unlocks greater value from resources or both, the end result is a benefit to investors as it helps reduce risk in a naturally high-risk part of the industry.
That's one reason why de Jong sees early adopters in the industry faring well compared to their counterparts who continue on a more standard path to exploration.
“I do think you’re going to see the companies that are out there and loudly embracing this start to get a premium in the market, because investors are going to say, ‘This is a tool that’s going to help you increase the potential (return on investment) on every dollar that I invest in your company. Why wouldn’t I reward you for that in the market?’” he said.
However, like Lassonde, de Jong noted that AI isn’t a panacea that can come in and magically find targets — it still takes work and data and time to develop tools. When asked how investors can determine if companies are just trying to ride the attention AI has been getting without properly employing the technology, he was straightforward.
“The best way to tell if someone’s just looking for buzzwords and to kind of pump a share price versus actually doing something or standing behind it is whether or not they’re drilling those targets,” he said.
Right now, AI seems to be making inroads in mining. If it holds even half the potential its proponents suggest, it should aid in driving discovery and attracting new investment to an industry that has lacked both for some time.
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Securities Disclosure: I, Dean Belder, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
ESG Now the "Price of Admission" for Miners as Investors Seek Responsible Companies
In today's rapidly evolving investment landscape, the spotlight isn't just on financial returns; it's also on environmental sustainability, social responsibility and governance — better known as ESG.
According to a 2021 report from Accenture Global (NYSE:ACN), 59 percent of investors want miners to aggressively pursue decarbonization and be market leaders in that effort. The report, titled "Global Institutional Investor Study of ESG in Mining," was based on responses from 200 public and private institutional investment firms from around the world.
On a similar note, 63 percent of respondents said they would be willing to divest from or avoid investing in mining companies that fail to meet their decarbonization targets or don't pursue decarbonization aggressively enough.
These numbers are reinforced in a 2023 report from EY on business risks and opportunities in the mining sector.
The annual report, which surveyed 150 mining executives, ranks ESG as the top risk on the radar for businesses.
The importance of ESG was also reiterated at the annual Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) convention, which was held at the Metro Toronto Convention Center in early March.
During a panel called “Mineral Financing and the Banking Ecosystem,” mining experts from Canada’s top banks weighed in on the value of ESG for investors and the challenge of attracting capital to the sector in the current market.
“I think now (ESG) is kind of the price of admission,” said Andrew Thompson, director of global mining equity sales at RBC Capital Markets. He said investors are approaching the sector with the expectation that a company’s ESG work is strong.
Due to this expectation, he believes ESG is less top of mind than it was a few years ago.
“Now it's part of the overall investment thesis as opposed to determining the investment thesis,” he said.
The idea of good ESG metrics being the price of admission was reinforced by Jackie Przybylowski, managing director at BMO Capital Markets, who noted at PDAC that “(ESG) doesn’t feel as performative as it has.”
She explained to listeners that in the past it felt like companies were only adding ESG slides into their presentations to lure investors, and now it feels more genuine and holistic.
Raising capital a key challenge for juniors
While ESG was the top concern identified by companies in EY's report, the second spot went to raising capital, a challenge that junior miners in North America have been especially impacted by.
The need for capital has also been compounded by the speed at which the energy transition must occur.
“Capital has moved up in the ranking as the sector competes for investment and incentives to accelerate exploration and development of minerals and metals vital to the energy transition,” EY's report reads.
“We’re seeing a shift from a short-term focus on returns to a long-term view of value, encouraged by recognition that longer-term investment horizons are required to meet 2050 net-zero goals.”
Although some investors are taking a more long-term stance, the PDAC panelists noted that risk aversion has spiked.
The market has become less tolerant of disruptions compared to a decade ago, when there was a more favorable environment for investment and growth, explained Przybylowski.
“Investors these days are much more scared or skittish of operational risks, geopolitical risk — any kind of disruption,” she said. “And so we see a much bigger response in the share price today than we would have when I started my career.”
Aside from the growth in risk aversion, there has been a loss of speculative capital since the late 2010s.
“In the last five years, we haven't seen the big wins in the exploration space — the big wins being the big premium takeouts that we saw in the past,” RBC’s Thompson said. “That's probably keeping some of the capital on the sidelines. You've also lost capital, that more speculative capital, to Bitcoin, to cannabis a few years ago.”
Thompson added that there isn’t the same amount of capital going into the exploration side as there once was.
For her part, Przybylowski noted that some of the capital raising may be hindered by portfolio managers avoiding stocks with market caps below US$2 billion. “When I'm talking with generalist investors that are looking for new ideas, that's basically the cut off for a lot of them, and that's even considered sort of small-cap funds in the US as well,” she said.
“Everybody knows raising capital for junior mining stocks is getting increasingly difficult."
With audio files from Lauren Kelly.
To see the rest of INN's PDAC content, click here.
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Securities Disclosure: I, Georgia Williams, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
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